Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.234694 0.277295 0.322733 0.374527 0.431657 0.492485 0.561884
2024-11-03 0.180989 0.239016 0.305292 0.385486 0.478803 0.582939 0.706897
2024-11-10 0.142532 0.209781 0.291695 0.396197 0.523411 0.670851 0.852231
2024-11-17 0.106770 0.176703 0.267803 0.390252 0.545780 0.732329 0.968549
2024-11-24 0.083796 0.155527 0.255067 0.395232 0.579843 0.807639 1.102868
2024-12-01 0.062934 0.132733 0.236384 0.389411 0.598238 0.862932 1.213439
2024-12-08 0.044802 0.109623 0.213408 0.374441 0.602200 0.898590 1.299231
2024-12-15 0.035755 0.099384 0.207753 0.382534 0.636474 0.973361 1.435531
2024-12-22 0.025884 0.084664 0.192592 0.374634 0.647200 1.016499 1.531254
2024-12-29 0.021927 0.080769 0.194625 0.392479 0.694538 1.109298 1.693192
2025-01-05 0.016533 0.071767 0.186291 0.392943 0.716082 1.167013 1.809414
2025-01-12 0.012475 0.064354 0.179577 0.395052 0.739511 1.227281 1.929585
2025-01-19 0.009939 0.060198 0.178774 0.407297 0.779306 1.312363 2.086427
2025-01-26 0.007954 0.056760 0.178851 0.420839 0.821345 1.401380 2.250073
2025-02-02 0.006265 0.053381 0.178496 0.433409 0.862088 1.489249 2.413484
2025-02-09 0.004067 0.046191 0.168527 0.427819 0.873694 1.535189 2.519583
2025-02-16 0.002868 0.042174 0.165021 0.433563 0.903260 1.607444 2.663004
2025-02-23 0.001673 0.036308 0.155817 0.427634 0.913297 1.650914 2.766462
2025-03-02 0.000740 0.029451 0.142285 0.411840 0.905939 1.667929 2.832351
2025-03-09 0.000452 0.027325 0.141170 0.420566 0.939752 1.746908 2.987042
2025-03-16 0.000157 0.022896 0.132168 0.412201 0.943852 1.780764 3.077357
2025-03-23 0.000105 0.022659 0.136105 0.431262 0.995764 1.888158 3.274586
2025-03-30 0.000028 0.020026 0.131606 0.431779 1.015136 1.945797 3.400407